608 lines
26 KiB
C++
608 lines
26 KiB
C++
// boost\math\special_functions\negative_binomial.hpp
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// Copyright Paul A. Bristow 2007.
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// Copyright John Maddock 2007.
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// Use, modification and distribution are subject to the
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// Boost Software License, Version 1.0.
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// (See accompanying file LICENSE_1_0.txt
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// or copy at http://www.boost.org/LICENSE_1_0.txt)
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// http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/negative_binomial_distribution
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// http://mathworld.wolfram.com/NegativeBinomialDistribution.html
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// http://documents.wolfram.com/teachersedition/Teacher/Statistics/DiscreteDistributions.html
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// The negative binomial distribution NegativeBinomialDistribution[n, p]
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// is the distribution of the number (k) of failures that occur in a sequence of trials before
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// r successes have occurred, where the probability of success in each trial is p.
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// In a sequence of Bernoulli trials or events
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// (independent, yes or no, succeed or fail) with success_fraction probability p,
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// negative_binomial is the probability that k or fewer failures
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// preceed the r th trial's success.
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// random variable k is the number of failures (NOT the probability).
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// Negative_binomial distribution is a discrete probability distribution.
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// But note that the negative binomial distribution
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// (like others including the binomial, Poisson & Bernoulli)
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// is strictly defined as a discrete function: only integral values of k are envisaged.
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// However because of the method of calculation using a continuous gamma function,
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// it is convenient to treat it as if a continous function,
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// and permit non-integral values of k.
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// However, by default the policy is to use discrete_quantile_policy.
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// To enforce the strict mathematical model, users should use conversion
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// on k outside this function to ensure that k is integral.
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// MATHCAD cumulative negative binomial pnbinom(k, n, p)
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// Implementation note: much greater speed, and perhaps greater accuracy,
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// might be achieved for extreme values by using a normal approximation.
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// This is NOT been tested or implemented.
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#ifndef BOOST_MATH_SPECIAL_NEGATIVE_BINOMIAL_HPP
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#define BOOST_MATH_SPECIAL_NEGATIVE_BINOMIAL_HPP
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#include <boost/math/distributions/fwd.hpp>
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#include <boost/math/special_functions/beta.hpp> // for ibeta(a, b, x) == Ix(a, b).
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#include <boost/math/distributions/complement.hpp> // complement.
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#include <boost/math/distributions/detail/common_error_handling.hpp> // error checks domain_error & logic_error.
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#include <boost/math/special_functions/fpclassify.hpp> // isnan.
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#include <boost/math/tools/roots.hpp> // for root finding.
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#include <boost/math/distributions/detail/inv_discrete_quantile.hpp>
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#include <boost/type_traits/is_floating_point.hpp>
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#include <boost/type_traits/is_integral.hpp>
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#include <boost/type_traits/is_same.hpp>
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#include <boost/mpl/if.hpp>
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#include <limits> // using std::numeric_limits;
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#include <utility>
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#if defined (BOOST_MSVC)
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# pragma warning(push)
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// This believed not now necessary, so commented out.
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//# pragma warning(disable: 4702) // unreachable code.
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// in domain_error_imp in error_handling.
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#endif
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namespace boost
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{
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namespace math
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{
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namespace negative_binomial_detail
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{
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// Common error checking routines for negative binomial distribution functions:
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline bool check_successes(const char* function, const RealType& r, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
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{
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if( !(boost::math::isfinite)(r) || (r <= 0) )
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{
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*result = policies::raise_domain_error<RealType>(
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function,
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"Number of successes argument is %1%, but must be > 0 !", r, pol);
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return false;
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}
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return true;
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}
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline bool check_success_fraction(const char* function, const RealType& p, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
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{
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if( !(boost::math::isfinite)(p) || (p < 0) || (p > 1) )
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{
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*result = policies::raise_domain_error<RealType>(
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function,
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"Success fraction argument is %1%, but must be >= 0 and <= 1 !", p, pol);
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return false;
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}
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return true;
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}
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline bool check_dist(const char* function, const RealType& r, const RealType& p, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
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{
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return check_success_fraction(function, p, result, pol)
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&& check_successes(function, r, result, pol);
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}
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline bool check_dist_and_k(const char* function, const RealType& r, const RealType& p, RealType k, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
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{
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if(check_dist(function, r, p, result, pol) == false)
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{
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return false;
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}
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if( !(boost::math::isfinite)(k) || (k < 0) )
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{ // Check k failures.
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*result = policies::raise_domain_error<RealType>(
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function,
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"Number of failures argument is %1%, but must be >= 0 !", k, pol);
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return false;
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}
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return true;
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} // Check_dist_and_k
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline bool check_dist_and_prob(const char* function, const RealType& r, RealType p, RealType prob, RealType* result, const Policy& pol)
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{
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if((check_dist(function, r, p, result, pol) && detail::check_probability(function, prob, result, pol)) == false)
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{
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return false;
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}
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return true;
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} // check_dist_and_prob
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} // namespace negative_binomial_detail
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template <class RealType = double, class Policy = policies::policy<> >
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class negative_binomial_distribution
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{
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public:
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typedef RealType value_type;
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typedef Policy policy_type;
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negative_binomial_distribution(RealType r, RealType p) : m_r(r), m_p(p)
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{ // Constructor.
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RealType result;
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negative_binomial_detail::check_dist(
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"negative_binomial_distribution<%1%>::negative_binomial_distribution",
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m_r, // Check successes r > 0.
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m_p, // Check success_fraction 0 <= p <= 1.
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&result, Policy());
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} // negative_binomial_distribution constructor.
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// Private data getter class member functions.
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RealType success_fraction() const
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{ // Probability of success as fraction in range 0 to 1.
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return m_p;
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}
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RealType successes() const
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{ // Total number of successes r.
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return m_r;
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}
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static RealType find_lower_bound_on_p(
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RealType trials,
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RealType successes,
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RealType alpha) // alpha 0.05 equivalent to 95% for one-sided test.
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{
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static const char* function = "boost::math::negative_binomial<%1%>::find_lower_bound_on_p";
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RealType result = 0; // of error checks.
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RealType failures = trials - successes;
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if(false == detail::check_probability(function, alpha, &result, Policy())
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&& negative_binomial_detail::check_dist_and_k(
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function, successes, RealType(0), failures, &result, Policy()))
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{
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return result;
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}
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// Use complement ibeta_inv function for lower bound.
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// This is adapted from the corresponding binomial formula
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// here: http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/prc/section2/prc241.htm
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// This is a Clopper-Pearson interval, and may be overly conservative,
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// see also "A Simple Improved Inferential Method for Some
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// Discrete Distributions" Yong CAI and K. KRISHNAMOORTHY
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// http://www.ucs.louisiana.edu/~kxk4695/Discrete_new.pdf
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//
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return ibeta_inv(successes, failures + 1, alpha, static_cast<RealType*>(0), Policy());
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} // find_lower_bound_on_p
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static RealType find_upper_bound_on_p(
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RealType trials,
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RealType successes,
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RealType alpha) // alpha 0.05 equivalent to 95% for one-sided test.
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{
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static const char* function = "boost::math::negative_binomial<%1%>::find_upper_bound_on_p";
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RealType result = 0; // of error checks.
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RealType failures = trials - successes;
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if(false == negative_binomial_detail::check_dist_and_k(
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function, successes, RealType(0), failures, &result, Policy())
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&& detail::check_probability(function, alpha, &result, Policy()))
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{
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return result;
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}
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if(failures == 0)
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return 1;
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// Use complement ibetac_inv function for upper bound.
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// Note adjusted failures value: *not* failures+1 as usual.
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// This is adapted from the corresponding binomial formula
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// here: http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/prc/section2/prc241.htm
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// This is a Clopper-Pearson interval, and may be overly conservative,
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// see also "A Simple Improved Inferential Method for Some
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// Discrete Distributions" Yong CAI and K. KRISHNAMOORTHY
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// http://www.ucs.louisiana.edu/~kxk4695/Discrete_new.pdf
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//
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return ibetac_inv(successes, failures, alpha, static_cast<RealType*>(0), Policy());
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} // find_upper_bound_on_p
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// Estimate number of trials :
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// "How many trials do I need to be P% sure of seeing k or fewer failures?"
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static RealType find_minimum_number_of_trials(
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RealType k, // number of failures (k >= 0).
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RealType p, // success fraction 0 <= p <= 1.
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RealType alpha) // risk level threshold 0 <= alpha <= 1.
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{
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static const char* function = "boost::math::negative_binomial<%1%>::find_minimum_number_of_trials";
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// Error checks:
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RealType result = 0;
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if(false == negative_binomial_detail::check_dist_and_k(
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function, RealType(1), p, k, &result, Policy())
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&& detail::check_probability(function, alpha, &result, Policy()))
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{ return result; }
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result = ibeta_inva(k + 1, p, alpha, Policy()); // returns n - k
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return result + k;
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} // RealType find_number_of_failures
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static RealType find_maximum_number_of_trials(
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RealType k, // number of failures (k >= 0).
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RealType p, // success fraction 0 <= p <= 1.
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RealType alpha) // risk level threshold 0 <= alpha <= 1.
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{
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static const char* function = "boost::math::negative_binomial<%1%>::find_maximum_number_of_trials";
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// Error checks:
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RealType result = 0;
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if(false == negative_binomial_detail::check_dist_and_k(
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function, RealType(1), p, k, &result, Policy())
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&& detail::check_probability(function, alpha, &result, Policy()))
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{ return result; }
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result = ibetac_inva(k + 1, p, alpha, Policy()); // returns n - k
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return result + k;
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} // RealType find_number_of_trials complemented
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private:
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RealType m_r; // successes.
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RealType m_p; // success_fraction
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}; // template <class RealType, class Policy> class negative_binomial_distribution
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typedef negative_binomial_distribution<double> negative_binomial; // Reserved name of type double.
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline const std::pair<RealType, RealType> range(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& /* dist */)
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{ // Range of permissible values for random variable k.
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using boost::math::tools::max_value;
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return std::pair<RealType, RealType>(static_cast<RealType>(0), max_value<RealType>()); // max_integer?
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}
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline const std::pair<RealType, RealType> support(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& /* dist */)
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{ // Range of supported values for random variable k.
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// This is range where cdf rises from 0 to 1, and outside it, the pdf is zero.
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using boost::math::tools::max_value;
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return std::pair<RealType, RealType>(static_cast<RealType>(0), max_value<RealType>()); // max_integer?
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}
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline RealType mean(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
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{ // Mean of Negative Binomial distribution = r(1-p)/p.
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return dist.successes() * (1 - dist.success_fraction() ) / dist.success_fraction();
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} // mean
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//template <class RealType, class Policy>
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//inline RealType median(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
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//{ // Median of negative_binomial_distribution is not defined.
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// return policies::raise_domain_error<RealType>(BOOST_CURRENT_FUNCTION, "Median is not implemented, result is %1%!", std::numeric_limits<RealType>::quiet_NaN());
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//} // median
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// Now implemented via quantile(half) in derived accessors.
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline RealType mode(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
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{ // Mode of Negative Binomial distribution = floor[(r-1) * (1 - p)/p]
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BOOST_MATH_STD_USING // ADL of std functions.
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return floor((dist.successes() -1) * (1 - dist.success_fraction()) / dist.success_fraction());
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} // mode
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline RealType skewness(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
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{ // skewness of Negative Binomial distribution = 2-p / (sqrt(r(1-p))
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BOOST_MATH_STD_USING // ADL of std functions.
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RealType p = dist.success_fraction();
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RealType r = dist.successes();
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return (2 - p) /
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sqrt(r * (1 - p));
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} // skewness
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline RealType kurtosis(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
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{ // kurtosis of Negative Binomial distribution
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// http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_binomial is kurtosis_excess so add 3
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RealType p = dist.success_fraction();
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RealType r = dist.successes();
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return 3 + (6 / r) + ((p * p) / (r * (1 - p)));
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} // kurtosis
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline RealType kurtosis_excess(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
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{ // kurtosis excess of Negative Binomial distribution
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// http://mathworld.wolfram.com/Kurtosis.html table of kurtosis_excess
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RealType p = dist.success_fraction();
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RealType r = dist.successes();
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return (6 - p * (6-p)) / (r * (1-p));
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} // kurtosis_excess
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline RealType variance(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
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{ // Variance of Binomial distribution = r (1-p) / p^2.
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return dist.successes() * (1 - dist.success_fraction())
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/ (dist.success_fraction() * dist.success_fraction());
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} // variance
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// RealType standard_deviation(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
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// standard_deviation provided by derived accessors.
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// RealType hazard(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
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// hazard of Negative Binomial distribution provided by derived accessors.
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// RealType chf(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist)
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// chf of Negative Binomial distribution provided by derived accessors.
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline RealType pdf(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist, const RealType& k)
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{ // Probability Density/Mass Function.
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BOOST_FPU_EXCEPTION_GUARD
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static const char* function = "boost::math::pdf(const negative_binomial_distribution<%1%>&, %1%)";
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RealType r = dist.successes();
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RealType p = dist.success_fraction();
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RealType result = 0;
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if(false == negative_binomial_detail::check_dist_and_k(
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function,
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r,
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dist.success_fraction(),
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k,
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&result, Policy()))
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{
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return result;
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}
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result = (p/(r + k)) * ibeta_derivative(r, static_cast<RealType>(k+1), p, Policy());
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// Equivalent to:
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// return exp(lgamma(r + k) - lgamma(r) - lgamma(k+1)) * pow(p, r) * pow((1-p), k);
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return result;
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} // negative_binomial_pdf
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline RealType cdf(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist, const RealType& k)
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{ // Cumulative Distribution Function of Negative Binomial.
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static const char* function = "boost::math::cdf(const negative_binomial_distribution<%1%>&, %1%)";
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using boost::math::ibeta; // Regularized incomplete beta function.
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// k argument may be integral, signed, or unsigned, or floating point.
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// If necessary, it has already been promoted from an integral type.
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RealType p = dist.success_fraction();
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RealType r = dist.successes();
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// Error check:
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RealType result = 0;
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if(false == negative_binomial_detail::check_dist_and_k(
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function,
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r,
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dist.success_fraction(),
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k,
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&result, Policy()))
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{
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return result;
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}
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RealType probability = ibeta(r, static_cast<RealType>(k+1), p, Policy());
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// Ip(r, k+1) = ibeta(r, k+1, p)
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return probability;
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} // cdf Cumulative Distribution Function Negative Binomial.
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline RealType cdf(const complemented2_type<negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>, RealType>& c)
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{ // Complemented Cumulative Distribution Function Negative Binomial.
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static const char* function = "boost::math::cdf(const negative_binomial_distribution<%1%>&, %1%)";
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using boost::math::ibetac; // Regularized incomplete beta function complement.
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// k argument may be integral, signed, or unsigned, or floating point.
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// If necessary, it has already been promoted from an integral type.
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RealType const& k = c.param;
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negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy> const& dist = c.dist;
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RealType p = dist.success_fraction();
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RealType r = dist.successes();
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// Error check:
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RealType result = 0;
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if(false == negative_binomial_detail::check_dist_and_k(
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function,
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r,
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p,
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k,
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&result, Policy()))
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{
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return result;
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}
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// Calculate cdf negative binomial using the incomplete beta function.
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// Use of ibeta here prevents cancellation errors in calculating
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// 1-p if p is very small, perhaps smaller than machine epsilon.
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// Ip(k+1, r) = ibetac(r, k+1, p)
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// constrain_probability here?
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RealType probability = ibetac(r, static_cast<RealType>(k+1), p, Policy());
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// Numerical errors might cause probability to be slightly outside the range < 0 or > 1.
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// This might cause trouble downstream, so warn, possibly throw exception, but constrain to the limits.
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return probability;
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} // cdf Cumulative Distribution Function Negative Binomial.
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template <class RealType, class Policy>
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inline RealType quantile(const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist, const RealType& P)
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{ // Quantile, percentile/100 or Percent Point Negative Binomial function.
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// Return the number of expected failures k for a given probability p.
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// Inverse cumulative Distribution Function or Quantile (percentile / 100) of negative_binomial Probability.
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// MAthCAD pnbinom return smallest k such that negative_binomial(k, n, p) >= probability.
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// k argument may be integral, signed, or unsigned, or floating point.
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// BUT Cephes/CodeCogs says: finds argument p (0 to 1) such that cdf(k, n, p) = y
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static const char* function = "boost::math::quantile(const negative_binomial_distribution<%1%>&, %1%)";
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BOOST_MATH_STD_USING // ADL of std functions.
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RealType p = dist.success_fraction();
|
|
RealType r = dist.successes();
|
|
// Check dist and P.
|
|
RealType result = 0;
|
|
if(false == negative_binomial_detail::check_dist_and_prob
|
|
(function, r, p, P, &result, Policy()))
|
|
{
|
|
return result;
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
// Special cases.
|
|
if (P == 1)
|
|
{ // Would need +infinity failures for total confidence.
|
|
result = policies::raise_overflow_error<RealType>(
|
|
function,
|
|
"Probability argument is 1, which implies infinite failures !", Policy());
|
|
return result;
|
|
// usually means return +std::numeric_limits<RealType>::infinity();
|
|
// unless #define BOOST_MATH_THROW_ON_OVERFLOW_ERROR
|
|
}
|
|
if (P == 0)
|
|
{ // No failures are expected if P = 0.
|
|
return 0; // Total trials will be just dist.successes.
|
|
}
|
|
if (P <= pow(dist.success_fraction(), dist.successes()))
|
|
{ // p <= pdf(dist, 0) == cdf(dist, 0)
|
|
return 0;
|
|
}
|
|
if(p == 0)
|
|
{ // Would need +infinity failures for total confidence.
|
|
result = policies::raise_overflow_error<RealType>(
|
|
function,
|
|
"Success fraction is 0, which implies infinite failures !", Policy());
|
|
return result;
|
|
// usually means return +std::numeric_limits<RealType>::infinity();
|
|
// unless #define BOOST_MATH_THROW_ON_OVERFLOW_ERROR
|
|
}
|
|
/*
|
|
// Calculate quantile of negative_binomial using the inverse incomplete beta function.
|
|
using boost::math::ibeta_invb;
|
|
return ibeta_invb(r, p, P, Policy()) - 1; //
|
|
*/
|
|
RealType guess = 0;
|
|
RealType factor = 5;
|
|
if(r * r * r * P * p > 0.005)
|
|
guess = detail::inverse_negative_binomial_cornish_fisher(r, p, RealType(1-p), P, RealType(1-P), Policy());
|
|
|
|
if(guess < 10)
|
|
{
|
|
//
|
|
// Cornish-Fisher Negative binomial approximation not accurate in this area:
|
|
//
|
|
guess = (std::min)(RealType(r * 2), RealType(10));
|
|
}
|
|
else
|
|
factor = (1-P < sqrt(tools::epsilon<RealType>())) ? 2 : (guess < 20 ? 1.2f : 1.1f);
|
|
BOOST_MATH_INSTRUMENT_CODE("guess = " << guess);
|
|
//
|
|
// Max iterations permitted:
|
|
//
|
|
boost::uintmax_t max_iter = policies::get_max_root_iterations<Policy>();
|
|
typedef typename Policy::discrete_quantile_type discrete_type;
|
|
return detail::inverse_discrete_quantile(
|
|
dist,
|
|
P,
|
|
false,
|
|
guess,
|
|
factor,
|
|
RealType(1),
|
|
discrete_type(),
|
|
max_iter);
|
|
} // RealType quantile(const negative_binomial_distribution dist, p)
|
|
|
|
template <class RealType, class Policy>
|
|
inline RealType quantile(const complemented2_type<negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>, RealType>& c)
|
|
{ // Quantile or Percent Point Binomial function.
|
|
// Return the number of expected failures k for a given
|
|
// complement of the probability Q = 1 - P.
|
|
static const char* function = "boost::math::quantile(const negative_binomial_distribution<%1%>&, %1%)";
|
|
BOOST_MATH_STD_USING
|
|
|
|
// Error checks:
|
|
RealType Q = c.param;
|
|
const negative_binomial_distribution<RealType, Policy>& dist = c.dist;
|
|
RealType p = dist.success_fraction();
|
|
RealType r = dist.successes();
|
|
RealType result = 0;
|
|
if(false == negative_binomial_detail::check_dist_and_prob(
|
|
function,
|
|
r,
|
|
p,
|
|
Q,
|
|
&result, Policy()))
|
|
{
|
|
return result;
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
// Special cases:
|
|
//
|
|
if(Q == 1)
|
|
{ // There may actually be no answer to this question,
|
|
// since the probability of zero failures may be non-zero,
|
|
return 0; // but zero is the best we can do:
|
|
}
|
|
if(Q == 0)
|
|
{ // Probability 1 - Q == 1 so infinite failures to achieve certainty.
|
|
// Would need +infinity failures for total confidence.
|
|
result = policies::raise_overflow_error<RealType>(
|
|
function,
|
|
"Probability argument complement is 0, which implies infinite failures !", Policy());
|
|
return result;
|
|
// usually means return +std::numeric_limits<RealType>::infinity();
|
|
// unless #define BOOST_MATH_THROW_ON_OVERFLOW_ERROR
|
|
}
|
|
if (-Q <= boost::math::powm1(dist.success_fraction(), dist.successes(), Policy()))
|
|
{ // q <= cdf(complement(dist, 0)) == pdf(dist, 0)
|
|
return 0; //
|
|
}
|
|
if(p == 0)
|
|
{ // Success fraction is 0 so infinite failures to achieve certainty.
|
|
// Would need +infinity failures for total confidence.
|
|
result = policies::raise_overflow_error<RealType>(
|
|
function,
|
|
"Success fraction is 0, which implies infinite failures !", Policy());
|
|
return result;
|
|
// usually means return +std::numeric_limits<RealType>::infinity();
|
|
// unless #define BOOST_MATH_THROW_ON_OVERFLOW_ERROR
|
|
}
|
|
//return ibetac_invb(r, p, Q, Policy()) -1;
|
|
RealType guess = 0;
|
|
RealType factor = 5;
|
|
if(r * r * r * (1-Q) * p > 0.005)
|
|
guess = detail::inverse_negative_binomial_cornish_fisher(r, p, RealType(1-p), RealType(1-Q), Q, Policy());
|
|
|
|
if(guess < 10)
|
|
{
|
|
//
|
|
// Cornish-Fisher Negative binomial approximation not accurate in this area:
|
|
//
|
|
guess = (std::min)(RealType(r * 2), RealType(10));
|
|
}
|
|
else
|
|
factor = (Q < sqrt(tools::epsilon<RealType>())) ? 2 : (guess < 20 ? 1.2f : 1.1f);
|
|
BOOST_MATH_INSTRUMENT_CODE("guess = " << guess);
|
|
//
|
|
// Max iterations permitted:
|
|
//
|
|
boost::uintmax_t max_iter = policies::get_max_root_iterations<Policy>();
|
|
typedef typename Policy::discrete_quantile_type discrete_type;
|
|
return detail::inverse_discrete_quantile(
|
|
dist,
|
|
Q,
|
|
true,
|
|
guess,
|
|
factor,
|
|
RealType(1),
|
|
discrete_type(),
|
|
max_iter);
|
|
} // quantile complement
|
|
|
|
} // namespace math
|
|
} // namespace boost
|
|
|
|
// This include must be at the end, *after* the accessors
|
|
// for this distribution have been defined, in order to
|
|
// keep compilers that support two-phase lookup happy.
|
|
#include <boost/math/distributions/detail/derived_accessors.hpp>
|
|
|
|
#if defined (BOOST_MSVC)
|
|
# pragma warning(pop)
|
|
#endif
|
|
|
|
#endif // BOOST_MATH_SPECIAL_NEGATIVE_BINOMIAL_HPP
|